MeridStreet Open terminal →
WAR & ESCALATION

World Bank sees commodity prices surging 23% in 2026 on Middle East war

·Economic Times·Impact 5/5 · Critical

The World Bank is predicting a significant increase in commodity prices next year, with a 23% surge expected in 2026. This rise is largely due to the ongoing Middle East war, which has disrupted energy supplies and shipping, leading to higher costs for essential goods. The resulting inflation and food security risks could have a major impact on the global economy, particularly for countries reliant on imported commodities.

Read the source report: Economic Times →

Why it matters

The Middle East war is disrupting energy supplies and shipping, leading to higher commodity prices. This could reduce investor sentiment and increase uncertainty, causing a risk-off environment for global markets.

Market impact

Impact score
5 / 5
Market signal
Negative / risk-off
Category
War & escalation
Model confidence
65%

Markets & countries in focus

TurkeyIsraelPalestineIranSaudi ArabiaUAEQatarKuwait

Transmission channels

War disrupts energy supplies→Commodity prices surge→Risk appetite falls→Global markets decline→Safe-haven assets rise

Likely winners & losers

Winners

  • Safe-haven assets
  • Gold

Under pressure

  • Emerging market equities
  • Oil importers

Explore the intelligence

Open the live MeridStreet terminal →

MeridStreet does not reproduce source articles. The summary and analysis above are generated by MeridStreet from public headlines and its own market model; the original reporting belongs to Economic Times. For information only — not financial advice.