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US EIA lifts Brent forecast to $98 as Iran war tightens global supplies

·Economic Times·Impact 4/5 · High

The US Energy Information Administration has revised its forecast for Brent crude oil prices, predicting an average of $98 a barrel in 2026. This increase is largely due to ongoing supply issues, including the Iran war, which has tightened global oil supplies. As a result, the forecast suggests that retail diesel prices will remain high in the near term, but are expected to decline to around $4.50 in 2027.

Read the source report: Economic Times →

Why it matters

The US Energy Information Administration has revised its oil price forecasts upward due to supply issues. This could lead to higher oil prices and increased volatility in the energy market.

Market impact

Impact score
4 / 5
Market signal
Negative / risk-off
Category
Market moves
Model confidence
70%

Markets & countries in focus

United StatesIran

Transmission channels

Supply issues→Oil price increase→Energy stock rise→Inflation concerns→Global economic impact

Likely winners & losers

Winners

  • Energy stocks
  • Oil producers

Under pressure

  • Oil consumers
  • Transportation stocks

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MeridStreet does not reproduce source articles. The summary and analysis above are generated by MeridStreet from public headlines and its own market model; the original reporting belongs to Economic Times. For information only — not financial advice.