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TRADE & SANCTIONS

The US-China trade war seems to have subsided – but the sense of calm is misleading

·The Guardian·Impact 3/5 · Notable

The US-China trade war has seemingly cooled down, but experts warn that a sense of calm is premature. This is because neither country has taken concrete steps to prevent a new escalation of tensions, leaving the possibility of renewed hostilities on the table. The temporary truce has allowed other global economic concerns to take center stage, such as the threat of new tariffs and the potential impact of US interest rate decisions on the economy. As a result, investors remain on high alert for any signs of renewed trade tensions.

Read the source report: The Guardian →

Why it matters

The US and China have agreed to a truce, but it does not address the underlying issues that led to the trade war. This means that the conflict could escalate again at any time, which could impact global trade and markets.

Market impact

Impact score
3 / 5
Market signal
Negative / risk-off
Category
Trade & sanctions
Model confidence
55%

Markets & countries in focus

United StatesChina

Transmission channels

Trade truce agreed→Temporary calm in markets→Underlying issues remain→New hostilities possible→Global trade impacted

Likely winners & losers

Winners

  • US exporters
  • Chinese imports

Under pressure

  • Safe-haven assets
  • Gold

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MeridStreet does not reproduce source articles. The summary and analysis above are generated by MeridStreet from public headlines and its own market model; the original reporting belongs to The Guardian. For information only — not financial advice.