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WAR & ESCALATION

UK mortgage demand drops to 32-month low as Iran war drives up borrowing costs

·The Guardian·Impact 4/5 · High

Demand for UK mortgages has dropped to a 32-month low, with only 54,918 mortgages approved for new home purchases in August. This is the lowest monthly total since December 2023. The main reason for this decline is the sharp increase in borrowing costs, which have risen due to the ongoing war in Iran. As a result, the average five-year fixed mortgage interest rate has hit 5.94%, its highest level since October 2023.

Read the source report: The Guardian →

Why it matters

The Iran war is driving up borrowing costs in the UK, leading to a drop in mortgage demand. This could lead to increased demand for safe-haven assets like UK gilts.

Market impact

Impact score
4 / 5
Market signal
Negative / risk-off
Category
War & escalation
Model confidence
70%

Markets & countries in focus

United KingdomIran

Transmission channels

Iran war escalates→Borrowing costs rise→Mortgage demand falls→UK gilts rise→Homebuyers decline

Likely winners & losers

Winners

  • UK gilts
  • Safe-haven assets

Under pressure

  • UK mortgage lenders
  • Homebuyers

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MeridStreet does not reproduce source articles. The summary and analysis above are generated by MeridStreet from public headlines and its own market model; the original reporting belongs to The Guardian. For information only — not financial advice.