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WAR & ESCALATION

Iran endures 6 months of US strikes as Trump’s war goals hit ‘dangerous impasse’

·South China Morning Post·Impact 5/5 · Critical

Iran has endured six months of US strikes following the initial attack that killed its supreme leader and injured his son and successor. This prolonged conflict has led to an economic siege on the Iranian government, but it remains in power, confident that time is on its side. The stalemate has reached a critical point, with US President Donald Trump's threat of new sanctions facing a major obstacle: Iran's belief that Trump will not take the final step to break the stalemate.

Read the source report: South China Morning Post →

Why it matters

The ongoing conflict between the US and Iran is causing uncertainty and instability in the region. This could lead to increased volatility in global markets and a decrease in investor confidence.

Market impact

Impact score
5 / 5
Market signal
Negative / risk-off
Category
War & escalation
Model confidence
80%

Markets & countries in focus

IranUnited StatesIsrael

Transmission channels

US strikes IranEscalation of conflictIncreased uncertaintyRisk-off sentimentGlobal market volatility

Likely winners & losers

Winners

  • Safe-haven assets
  • Gold

Under pressure

  • Emerging market equities
  • Oil importers

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MeridStreet does not reproduce source articles. The summary and analysis above are generated by MeridStreet from public headlines and its own market model; the original reporting belongs to South China Morning Post. For information only — not financial advice.