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MONETARY POLICY

Does ‘inflation targeting’ work in India?

·The Hindu·Impact 3/5 · Notable

India's inflation targeting policy has been called into question due to recent findings that the country's Phillips curve is flat. This means that the traditional relationship between inflation and unemployment may not apply in India. As a result, the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) efforts to control inflation through monetary policy may inadvertently lower output and employment without achieving the desired reduction in inflation. This raises concerns about the effectiveness of inflation targeting in India's economy.

Read the source report: The Hindu →

Why it matters

India's Phillips curve is flat, and households' inflation expectations are higher than the RBI's projections. This indicates that inflation targeting may not be effective in India.

Market impact

Impact score
3 / 5
Market signal
Negative / risk-off
Category
Monetary policy
Model confidence
65%

Markets & countries in focus

India

Transmission channels

Inflation uncertainty→Monetary policy doubts→Risk-off sentiment→Lower bond prices→Higher gold prices

Likely winners & losers

Winners

  • Gold

Under pressure

  • Indian bonds

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MeridStreet does not reproduce source articles. The summary and analysis above are generated by MeridStreet from public headlines and its own market model; the original reporting belongs to The Hindu. For information only — not financial advice.