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US midterm elections begin tomorrow: Can Trump’s likely defeat sparkle Sensex, Nifty? Here’s what analysts say

·Economic Times·Impact 2/5 · Moderate

The US midterm elections are set to begin tomorrow, with analysts predicting a potential defeat for former President Donald Trump's party. This outcome could have a positive impact on the Indian stock market, specifically the Sensex and Nifty 50 indices, as a divided government in the US may lead to increased market volatility. However, historical data suggests that annualised returns have remained largely unaffected by such events.

Read the source report: Economic Times →

Why it matters

The US midterm elections could lead to a divided government, which may heighten uncertainty and volatility in the markets. Analysts are anticipating potential Republican losses, which could impact investor sentiment.

Market impact

Impact score
2 / 5
Market signal
Negative / risk-off
Category
Market moves
Model confidence
55%

Markets & countries in focus

United States

Transmission channels

US midterm elections→Divided government→Uncertainty increases→Risk appetite decreases→Global equities fall

Likely winners & losers

Under pressure

  • Global equities
  • Risk assets

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MeridStreet does not reproduce source articles. The summary and analysis above are generated by MeridStreet from public headlines and its own market model; the original reporting belongs to Economic Times. For information only — not financial advice.